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The International 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
Xtreme Gamingloss 1:1
series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 1:1
1w Teamloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Xtreme Gaming

Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Dy · 23 games
78%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Xxs · 21 game
52%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
Xxs · 19 games
68%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
XinQ · 17 games
65%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
XinQ · 16 games
63%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Xm · 16 games
88%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Xxs · 15 games
47%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
XinQ · 14 games
64%

1w Team

Windranger
Windrangersignature
Munkushi~ · 36 games
61%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Chira JUNIOR · 34 games
62%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
RESPECT · 28 games
68%
Rubick
Rubick
swedenstrong · 28 games
57%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Chira JUNIOR · 27 games
67%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
swedenstrong · 24 games
50%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
RESPECT · 23 games
70%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
RESPECT · 22 games
68%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
409 picks · 379 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
384 picks · 427 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
369 picks · 534 bans
49%
Jakiro
Jakiro
345 picks · 256 bans
47%
Weaver
Weaver
333 picks · 740 bans
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
316 picks · 642 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
314 picks · 753 bans
54%
Phoenix
Phoenix
310 picks · 644 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 65%
Hero pool strength51% Xtreme Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% 1w Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed0:0
Xtreme Gaming 47%1w Team 53%
The model gave 53% on 1w Team — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 17023:05:03.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Visage
VisageXxs
43% · 36 games53% · 66 games
Shadow FiendChira JUNIOR
Shadow Fiend
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritXm
50% · 133 games46% · 153 games
MorphlingMunkushi~
Morphling
Windranger
WindrangerAme
55% · 188 games55% · 142 games
KunkkaCloud
Kunkka
Tusk
TuskXinQ
42% · 146 games51% · 139 games
ClockwerkRESPECT
Clockwerk
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorDy
53% · 95 games50% · 98 games
Snapfireswedenstrong
Snapfire
Game 2prediction correct9:35
Xtreme Gaming 49%1w Team 51%
The model gave 51% on 1w Team — the game was taken by 1w Team in 32:13.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Alchemist
AlchemistAme
50% · 85 games48% · 157 games
LinaMunkushi~
Lina
Pangolier
PangolierXm
48% · 316 games54% · 364 games
Primal BeastCloud
Primal Beast
Timbersaw
TimbersawXxs
51% · 181 game50% · 174 games
LeshracChira JUNIOR
Leshrac
Enchantress
EnchantressDy
52% · 218 games50% · 84 games
Nyx Assassinswedenstrong
Nyx Assassin
Rubick
RubickXinQ
45% · 257 games52% · 278 games
Shadow DemonRESPECT
Shadow Demon
Model check result
Model favorite1w Team · 53%
Accuracy by game1 of 2