?
arrow_backBack to match
The International 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Xtreme Gamingwin 2:0
series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Azure Rayloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Xtreme Gaming

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Ame · 28 games
50%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
XinQ · 24 games
67%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
天命 · 22 games
64%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
lou · 21 game
52%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
Ame · 21 game
62%
Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
天命 · 20 games
65%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Xxs · 20 games
65%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Xm · 20 games
50%

Azure Ray

Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
JT- · 3 games
100%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
xNova · 2 games
100%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Pyw · 2 games
100%
Elder Titan
Elder Titan
xNova · 2 games
100%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Somnus · 2 games
100%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Somnus · 2 games
100%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Pyw · 1 game
100%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
JT- · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
522 picks · 597 bans
50%
Jakiro
Jakiro
476 picks · 435 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
469 picks · 237 bans
52%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
370 picks · 768 bans
48%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
345 picks · 509 bans
52%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
337 picks · 786 bans
55%
Tusk
Tusk
323 picks · 294 bans
49%
Windranger
Windranger
306 picks · 94 bans
45%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 75%
Hero pool strength56% Azure Ray
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total76% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct30:12
Xtreme Gaming 63%Azure Ray 37%
The model gave 63% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 42:21.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Doom
DoomAme
53% · 241 game46% · 235 games
MedusaMonet
Medusa
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritXm
51% · 293 games47% · 308 games
Ember SpiritSomnus
Ember Spirit
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerXxs
52% · 157 games40% · 38 games
AxeJT-
Axe
Warlock
WarlockPoloson
49% · 141 game50% · 333 games
PhoenixxNova
Phoenix
Dark Willow
Dark WillowXinQ
55% · 229 games53% · 147 games
Shadow ShamanPyw
Shadow Shaman
Game 2prediction correct27:13
Xtreme Gaming 62%Azure Ray 38%
The model gave 62% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 32:39.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow RangerAme
36% · 44 games59% · 232 games
BristlebackMonet
Bristleback
Abaddon
AbaddonXxs
45% · 88 games56% · 126 games
Centaur WarrunnerJT-
Centaur Warrunner
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritXm
51% · 265 games46% · 40 games
Void SpiritSomnus
Void Spirit
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanXinQ
54% · 110 games55% · 190 games
ClockwerkPyw
Clockwerk
Warlock
WarlockPoloson
42% · 118 games40% · 37 games
DisruptorxNova
Disruptor
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 76%
Series resultXtreme Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2