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Riyadh Masters 2024 · BO3
result vs prediction
Xtreme Gamingloss 0:2
series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Xtreme Gaming

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Xxs · 30 games
67%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Dy · 27 games
70%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Xxs · 23 games
48%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Xxs · 22 games
59%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
XinQ · 20 games
70%
Sniper
Snipersignature
Xm · 18 games
78%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Dy · 17 games
65%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
XinQ · 17 games
71%

BETBOOM TEAM

Tiny
Tinysignature
Save- · 29 games
66%
Mirana
Miranasignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 28 games
61%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
gpK~ · 27 games
56%
Lion
Lion
Save- · 24 games
50%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 24 games
67%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 22 games
45%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Save- · 21 game
48%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
MieRo · 20 games
70%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
394 picks · 718 bans
51%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
333 picks · 280 bans
55%
Weaver
Weaver
331 picks · 643 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
328 picks · 218 bans
48%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
322 picks · 373 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
320 picks · 472 bans
55%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
297 picks · 347 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
297 picks · 540 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)51% vs 46%
Hero pool strength57% Xtreme Gaming
Head-to-head2 – 3
Model total62% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed14:25
Xtreme Gaming 55%BETBOOM TEAM 45%
The model gave 55% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 44:53.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Chaos Knight
Chaos KnightAme
42% · 103 games54% · 164 games
MorphlingNightfall
Morphling
Dark Seer
Dark SeerXxs
48% · 181 game55% · 138 games
DoomMieRo
Doom
Sand King
Sand KingXm
47% · 32 games52% · 270 games
PangoliergpK~
Pangolier
Rubick
RubickXinQ
46% · 362 games52% · 217 games
HoodwinkSave-
Hoodwink
Snapfire
SnapfireDy
45% · 161 game61% · 50 games
ChenTORONTOTOKYO
Chen
Game 2prediction missed14:30
Xtreme Gaming 57%BETBOOM TEAM 43%
The model gave 57% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 34:09.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
UrsaAme
46% · 98 games55% · 97 games
Troll WarlordNightfall
Troll Warlord
Razor
RazorXm
45% · 143 games53% · 31 game
Sand KinggpK~
Sand King
Pangolier
PangolierXxs
50% · 314 games54% · 225 games
Primal BeastMieRo
Primal Beast
Spirit Breaker
Spirit BreakerXinQ
54% · 79 games39% · 175 games
SvenTORONTOTOKYO
Sven
Snapfire
SnapfireDy
48% · 109 games57% · 215 games
GrimstrokeSave-
Grimstroke
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 62%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2