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DreamLeague Season 24 · BO2
result vs prediction
Xtreme Gamingwin 2:0
series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BETBOOM TEAMloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Xtreme Gaming

Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Xm · 17 games
82%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
Xxs · 15 games
67%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Dy · 14 games
50%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Dy · 13 games
77%
Marci
Marcisignature
XinQ · 12 games
83%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Xxs · 12 games
42%
Rubick
Rubick
XinQ · 12 games
33%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Xxs · 12 games
67%

BETBOOM TEAM

Batrider
Batridersignature
Save- · 23 games
65%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
gpK~ · 19 games
47%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
TORONTOTOKYO · 17 games
53%
Doom
Doomsignature
MieRo · 16 games
63%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 14 games
64%
Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 14 games
64%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Save- · 14 games
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 13 games
62%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
350 picks · 471 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
349 picks · 321 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
324 picks · 458 bans
50%
Enchantress
Enchantress
301 picks · 586 bans
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
296 picks · 164 bans
49%
Luna
Luna
277 picks · 336 bans
56%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
265 picks · 431 bans
48%
Windranger
Windranger
244 picks · 356 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)65% vs 46%
Hero pool strength53% Xtreme Gaming
Head-to-head2 – 4
Model total50% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct30:16
Xtreme Gaming 50%BETBOOM TEAM 50%
The model gave 50% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 38:16.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
MedusaAme
49% · 166 games54% · 218 games
LunaPure~
Luna
Sand King
Sand KingXxs
50% · 156 games49% · 309 games
Pangolierkiyotaka
Pangolier
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainXm
44% · 118 games46% · 161 game
BeastmasterMieRo
Beastmaster
Grimstroke
GrimstrokePyw
55% · 220 games53% · 121 game
Naga SirenKataomi
Naga Siren
Clockwerk
Clockwerk天命
55% · 352 games46% · 203 games
Dark WillowSave-
Dark Willow
Game 2prediction correct30:21
Xtreme Gaming 52%BETBOOM TEAM 48%
The model gave 52% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 40:46.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunaAme
49% · 160 games50% · 132 games
Shadow FiendPure~
Shadow Fiend
Primal Beast
Primal BeastXxs
51% · 143 games47% · 19 games
Rikikiyotaka
Riki
Puck
PuckXm
51% · 146 games51% · 314 games
MarsMieRo
Mars
Lion
LionPyw
46% · 122 games47% · 286 games
Dark WillowSave-
Dark Willow
Clockwerk
Clockwerk天命
56% · 205 games50% · 25 games
Ogre MagiKataomi
Ogre Magi
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 50%
Series resultXtreme Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2