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DreamLeague Season 25 · BO2
result vs prediction
Xtreme Gamingloss 0:2
series probability
20%80%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Xtreme Gaming

Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Poloson · 30 games
63%
Muerta
Muerta
Pyw · 24 games
58%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Pyw · 21 game
62%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Xm · 19 games
53%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Xm · 17 games
59%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
Poloson · 17 games
88%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
niu · 15 games
60%
Luna
Lunasignature
Ame · 13 games
62%

BETBOOM TEAM

Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 30 games
73%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Save- · 27 games
59%
Tusk
Tusk
Kataomi · 26 games
54%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 22 games
77%
Invoker
Invokersignature
kiyotaka · 22 games
73%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Save- · 22 games
64%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Pure~ · 20 games
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Pure~ · 18 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Phoenix
Phoenix
527 picks · 773 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
497 picks · 591 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
496 picks · 537 bans
55%
Batrider
Batrider
482 picks · 600 bans
49%
Muerta
Muerta
466 picks · 392 bans
50%
Magnus
Magnus
442 picks · 986 bans
58%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
435 picks · 793 bans
57%
Bristleback
Bristleback
390 picks · 896 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 57%
Hero pool strength51% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head2 – 7
Model total80% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct28:39
Xtreme Gaming 31%BETBOOM TEAM 69%
The model gave 69% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 39:04.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Bristleback
Bristlebacklou
49% · 210 games51% · 346 games
BeastmasterMieRo
Beastmaster
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritXm
49% · 213 games51% · 102 games
Night StalkerPure~
Night Stalker
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakerniu
45% · 175 games56% · 220 games
Monkey KinggpK~
Monkey King
Zeus
ZeusUndyne_
40% · 116 games57% · 51 game
VenomancerKataomi
Venomancer
Clockwerk
ClockwerkPoloson
54% · 408 games49% · 403 games
BatriderSave-
Batrider
Game 2prediction correct9:28
Xtreme Gaming 33%BETBOOM TEAM 67%
The model gave 67% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 26:03.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Necrophos
NecrophosXm
38% · 4 games54% · 273 games
Dragon KnightPure~
Dragon Knight
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinlou
53% · 139 games51% · 268 games
PangoliergpK~
Pangolier
Tiny
Tinyniu
52% · 435 games36% · 40 games
AbaddonMieRo
Abaddon
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanPoloson
46% · 67 games60% · 62 games
Bounty HunterSave-
Bounty Hunter
Zeus
ZeusUndyne_
43% · 135 games53% · 137 games
LichKataomi
Lich
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 80%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2