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PGL Wallachia Season 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
Xtreme Gamingloss 0:2
series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Xtreme Gaming

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Ame · 28 games
50%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
XinQ · 26 games
69%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Xm · 24 games
50%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
天命 · 22 games
64%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Ame · 22 games
59%
Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
Poloson · 21 game
67%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
lou · 21 game
52%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Xxs · 20 games
65%

BETBOOM TEAM

Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
Save- · 29 games
62%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 28 games
71%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
gpK~ · 27 games
56%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Pure~ · 24 games
58%
Muerta
Muerta
Save- · 23 games
52%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Pure~ · 22 games
55%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
gpK~ · 21 game
62%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
Save- · 20 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
565 picks · 640 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
489 picks · 249 bans
53%
Jakiro
Jakiro
472 picks · 418 bans
48%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
410 picks · 853 bans
47%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
395 picks · 451 bans
56%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
386 picks · 564 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
383 picks · 335 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
352 picks · 529 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 52%
Hero pool strength50% Xtreme Gaming
Head-to-head3 – 5
Model total58% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct4:22
Xtreme Gaming 48%BETBOOM TEAM 52%
The model gave 52% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 25:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinAme
56% · 210 games49% · 273 games
MuertaPure~
Muerta
Bristleback
BristlebackXxs
58% · 398 games52% · 271 game
Storm SpiritgpK~
Storm Spirit
Void Spirit
Void SpiritXm
49% · 101 game45% · 368 games
PangolierMieRo
Pangolier
Dark Willow
Dark WillowXinQ
50% · 319 games47% · 145 games
Nature's ProphetKataomi
Nature's Prophet
Warlock
WarlockPoloson
46% · 219 games46% · 190 games
Shadow ShamanSave-
Shadow Shaman
Game 2prediction correct21:34
Xtreme Gaming 42%BETBOOM TEAM 58%
The model gave 58% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 43:03.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow RangerAme
44% · 61 game50% · 156 games
LinaPure~
Lina
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerXxs
47% · 151 game52% · 245 games
PuckgpK~
Puck
Tiny
TinyXm
47% · 396 games59% · 321 game
BristlebackMieRo
Bristleback
Mirana
MiranaPoloson
48% · 85 games54% · 132 games
Naga SirenKataomi
Naga Siren
Tusk
TuskXinQ
47% · 361 game51% · 200 games
Shadow ShamanSave-
Shadow Shaman
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 58%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2