BLAST Slam IX. Закрытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Xtreme Gamingwin 2:0series probability
97%3%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Cloud Dawningloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Xtreme Gaming
Hoodwink
fy · 30 games
Rubick
fy · 22 games
Ember Spiritsignature
NothingToSay · 17 games
Pangolier
NothingToSay · 17 games
Doomsignature
zeal · 16 games
Miranasignature
XinQ · 15 games
Lichsignature
xNova · 14 games
Phoenix
xNova · 14 games
Cloud Dawning
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
569 picks · 373 bans
Dark Willow
505 picks · 305 bans
Mirana
427 picks · 189 bans
Winter Wyvern
400 picks · 359 bans
Ember Spirit
359 picks · 550 bans
Windranger
352 picks · 175 bans
Earth Spirit
310 picks · 569 bans
Centaur Warrunner
303 picks · 303 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 60%
Hero pool strength51% Xtreme Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total97% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct20:27
Xtreme Gaming 97%Cloud Dawning 3%
The model gave 97% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 47:59.
Game 2prediction correct30:22
Xtreme Gaming 97%Cloud Dawning 3%
The model gave 97% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 38:31.
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 97%
Series resultXtreme Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2