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BLAST Slam VI. Закрытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Xtreme Gamingwin 2:0
series probability
98%2%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Cloud Risingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Xtreme Gaming

Warlock
Warlocksignature
xNova · 21 game
62%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Xm · 17 games
47%
Disruptor
Disruptor
xNova · 16 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Xxs · 15 games
67%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Xxs · 13 games
62%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
Xxs · 13 games
62%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
fy · 13 games
54%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Pyw · 13 games
69%

Cloud Rising

Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Q7 · 5 games
40%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
Q7 · 4 games
25%
Sven
Sven
Yumeyume · 3 games
67%
Clinkz
Clinkz
Yumeyume · 2 games
100%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Q7 · 2 games
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Yumeyume · 2 games
0%
Leshrac
Leshrac
Q7 · 2 games
50%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Q7 · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
589 picks · 622 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
510 picks · 330 bans
49%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
501 picks · 687 bans
48%
Snapfire
Snapfire
492 picks · 188 bans
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
444 picks · 224 bans
53%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
442 picks · 529 bans
54%
Mars
Mars
395 picks · 541 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
383 picks · 540 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 33%
Hero pool strength55% Xtreme Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total98% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct28:10
Xtreme Gaming 85%Cloud Rising 15%
The model gave 85% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 34:32.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Slark
SlarkAme
45% · 62 games53% · 159 games
MorphlingYumeyume
Morphling
Primal Beast
Primal BeastXxs
47% · 94 games47% · 370 games
Dragon KnightQ7
Dragon Knight
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritNothingToSay
53% · 224 games54% · 269 games
RingmasterUndyne_
Ringmaster
Warlock
WarlockxNova
45% · 238 games
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonfy
54% · 180 games
Game 2prediction correct20:15
Xtreme Gaming 86%Cloud Rising 14%
The model gave 86% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 33:02.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightAme
48% · 262 games52% · 370 games
GyrocopterYumeyume
Gyrocopter
Timbersaw
TimbersawXxs
51% · 150 games51% · 338 games
Ember SpiritQ7
Ember Spirit
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainNothingToSay
47% · 209 games48% · 114 games
DazzleUndyne_
Dazzle
Chen
ChenxNova
57% · 125 games
Lion
Lionfy
46% · 76 games
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 98%
Series resultXtreme Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2