BLAST Slam V · BO1
result vs prediction
Xtreme Gamingloss 0:1series probability
80%20%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Execrationwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Xtreme Gaming
Warlocksignature
xNova · 20 games
Shadow Shamansignature
Pyw · 19 games
Puckoften banned
Xm · 17 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Xm · 16 games
Elder Titansignature
xNova · 14 games
Tusk
XinQ · 13 games
Pangoliersignature
Xxs · 12 games
Shadow Fiendsignature
Xm · 12 games
Execration
Snapfiresignature
Shanks · 27 games
Marsoften banned
Tino- · 22 games
Tusk
Shanks · 17 games
Witch Doctor
cml · 17 games
Gyrocoptersignature
Palos · 16 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Palos · 16 games
Puckoften banned
Bob · 14 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Tino- · 13 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
776 picks · 354 bans
Disruptor
582 picks · 593 bans
Hoodwink
563 picks · 299 bans
Dragon Knight
468 picks · 540 bans
Jakiro
465 picks · 284 bans
Tusk
464 picks · 273 bans
Mars
452 picks · 738 bans
Puck
433 picks · 1121 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 49%
Hero pool strength54% Xtreme Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total80% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed4:15
Xtreme Gaming 69%Execration 31%
The model gave 69% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Execration in 17:44.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lone DruidAme
JuggernautPalos
PuckNothingToSay
AxeTino-
Primal BeastXxs
Void SpiritBob
Ringmasterfy
TuskShanks
WarlockxNova
Jakirocml
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 80%
Series resultExecration 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1