Clavision Snow Ruyi Invitational · BO3
result vs prediction
Xtreme Gamingwin 2:1series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 2:1
G2 Invictus Gamingloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Xtreme Gaming
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Xxs · 30 games
Phoenixsignature
Dy · 27 games
Primal Beastoften banned
Xxs · 27 games
Marsoften banned
Xxs · 22 games
Shadow Demonsignature
XinQ · 20 games
Grimstrokesignature
XinQ · 18 games
Snipersignature
Xm · 18 games
Crystal Maidensignature
Dy · 17 games
G2 Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
398 picks · 851 bans
Hoodwink
395 picks · 392 bans
Rubick
376 picks · 283 bans
Weaver
365 picks · 773 bans
Clockwerk
331 picks · 473 bans
Pangolier
330 picks · 529 bans
Phoenix
322 picks · 662 bans
Gyrocopter
316 picks · 375 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 54%
Hero pool strength59% Xtreme Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total72% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct33:19
Xtreme Gaming 72%G2 Invictus Gaming 28%
The model gave 72% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 42:15.
Game 2prediction missed18:40
Xtreme Gaming 72%G2 Invictus Gaming 28%
The model gave 72% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by G2 Invictus Gaming in 41:35.
Game 3prediction correct25:5
Xtreme Gaming 72%G2 Invictus Gaming 28%
The model gave 72% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 26:53.
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 72%
Series resultXtreme Gaming 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3