DreamLeague Season 24 · BO2
result vs prediction
Xtreme Gamingloss 1:1series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Xtreme Gaming
Storm Spiritsignature
Xm · 18 games
Primal Beastsignature
Xxs · 17 games
Jakiro
Dy · 14 games
Marcisignature
XinQ · 14 games
Phoenixsignature
Dy · 14 games
Pangolieroften banned
Xxs · 13 games
Sand Kingsignature
Xxs · 13 games
Shadow Fiendsignature
Xm · 13 games
Gaimin Gladiators
Underlordsignature
Ace · 23 games
Broodmothersignature
Ace · 21 game
Enchantressoften banned
Seleri · 19 games
Chensignature
Seleri · 18 games
Clinkzsignature
dyrachyo · 18 games
Clockwerk
Seleri · 18 games
Hoodwink
tOfu · 17 games
Sniperoften banned
Quinn · 17 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
378 picks · 502 bans
Clockwerk
374 picks · 346 bans
Pangolier
326 picks · 467 bans
Enchantress
307 picks · 602 bans
Luna
302 picks · 356 bans
Snapfire
274 picks · 141 bans
Dragon Knight
254 picks · 407 bans
Dark Willow
253 picks · 137 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 39%
Hero pool strength51% Xtreme Gaming
Head-to-head3 – 1
Model total60% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct29:21
Xtreme Gaming 56%Gaimin Gladiators 44%
The model gave 56% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 35:20.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
MedusaAme
MorphlingWatson
Sand KingXxs
BeastmasterAce
SniperXm
Monkey KingQuinn
BatriderPyw
LiontOfu
Tusk天命
PugnaSeleri
Game 2prediction missed20:33
Xtreme Gaming 59%Gaimin Gladiators 41%
The model gave 59% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 41:26.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
BristlebackXxs
Monkey KingQuinn
Shadow FiendAme
Templar AssassinWatson
HuskarXm
Sand KingAce
HoodwinkPyw
MuertatOfu
Clockwerk天命
PugnaSeleri
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 60%
Accuracy by game1 of 2