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BLAST Slam VII · BO1
result vs prediction
Xtreme Gamingwin 1:0
series probability
77%23%
probability at match start · final 1:0
GLYPHloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Xtreme Gaming

Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
xNova · 30 games
47%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
fy · 29 games
62%
Warlock
Warlock
xNova · 29 games
52%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Xxs · 27 games
44%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
Xxs · 26 games
62%
Tiny
Tiny
NothingToSay · 26 games
50%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
fy · 25 games
72%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
NothingToSay · 23 games
61%

GLYPH

Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Emo · 10 games
60%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
NARMAN · 8 games
50%
Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
zeal · 7 games
71%
Kez
Kezsignature
JaCkky · 6 games
67%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Jhocam · 5 games
60%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Emo · 4 games
50%
Largo
Largooften banned
zeal · 4 games
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
JaCkky · 3 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
561 picks · 344 bans
54%
Phoenix
Phoenix
477 picks · 567 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
452 picks · 236 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
433 picks · 361 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
376 picks · 521 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
324 picks · 860 bans
52%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
318 picks · 800 bans
47%
Jakiro
Jakiro
309 picks · 209 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)41% vs 55%
Hero pool strength51% GLYPH
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total77% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct35:19
Xtreme Gaming 64%GLYPH 36%
The model gave 64% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 48:55.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Muerta
MuertaAme
52% · 178 games44% · 197 games
TerrorbladeJaCkky
Terrorblade
Doom
DoomXxs
54% · 154 games42% · 339 games
PuckEmo
Puck
Pangolier
PangolierNothingToSay
46% · 271 game52% · 117 games
Largozeal
Largo
Rubick
Rubickfy
48% · 168 games48% · 65 games
Winter WyvernNARMAN
Winter Wyvern
Lich
LichxNova
65% · 48 games53% · 101 game
LionJhocam
Lion
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 77%
Series resultXtreme Gaming 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1