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BLAST Slam V · BO1
result vs prediction
Xtreme Gamingwin 1:0
series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Heroicloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Xtreme Gaming

Warlock
Warlocksignature
xNova · 20 games
65%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Pyw · 19 games
79%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Xm · 17 games
53%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Xm · 16 games
75%
Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
xNova · 14 games
64%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Xxs · 12 games
67%
Tusk
Tusk
XinQ · 12 games
42%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
Xxs · 11 games
55%

Heroic

Tusk
Tusk
Scofield · 26 games
50%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
Wisper · 24 games
63%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Scofield · 23 games
74%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
Scofield · 22 games
55%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
Yuma · 21 game
52%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
4nalog · 19 games
58%
Bane
Bane
KJ · 18 games
44%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
Wisper · 18 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
773 picks · 354 bans
54%
Disruptor
Disruptor
587 picks · 599 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
559 picks · 299 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
457 picks · 275 bans
51%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
456 picks · 534 bans
50%
Jakiro
Jakiro
450 picks · 280 bans
49%
Mars
Mars
447 picks · 737 bans
51%
Puck
Puck
430 picks · 1124 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 58%
Hero pool strength51% Xtreme Gaming
Head-to-head2 – 2
Model total52% Heroic
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed40:31
Xtreme Gaming 50%Heroic 50%
The model gave 50% on Heroic — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 54:26.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterAme
54% · 186 games41% · 297 games
Queen of PainWisper
Queen of Pain
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendNothingToSay
53% · 125 games48% · 87 games
PudgeYuma
Pudge
Beastmaster
BeastmasterXxs
58% · 191 game49% · 197 games
AxeDavai
Axe
Naga Siren
Naga SirenxNova
60% · 102 games44% · 54 games
Skywrath MageScofield
Skywrath Mage
Tusk
Tuskfy
49% · 266 games44% · 235 games
ClockwerkKJ
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoriteHeroic · 52%
Series resultXtreme Gaming 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1