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FISSURE Special · BO3
result vs prediction
Xtreme Gamingloss 0:2
series probability
82%18%
probability at match start · final 0:2
HULIGANIwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Xtreme Gaming

Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Poloson · 38 games
53%
Muerta
Muertasignature
Pyw · 23 games
61%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Xm · 22 games
41%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Xm · 20 games
55%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
niu · 17 games
59%
Tusk
Tusk
Pyw · 17 games
53%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
Poloson · 16 games
88%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Poloson · 16 games
63%

HULIGANI

Batrider
Batrideroften banned
queezy · 19 games
37%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Alberkaaa · 19 games
47%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
RESPECT · 17 games
35%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Alberkaaa · 16 games
50%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
v1olent- · 14 games
50%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Mirage · 14 games
50%
Muerta
Muerta
queezy · 12 games
50%
Chen
Chensignature
RESPECT · 11 games
73%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
570 picks · 810 bans
50%
Muerta
Muerta
446 picks · 302 bans
52%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassin
433 picks · 808 bans
52%
Phoenix
Phoenix
428 picks · 659 bans
51%
Bristleback
Bristleback
409 picks · 868 bans
54%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
389 picks · 367 bans
52%
Magnus
Magnus
387 picks · 1040 bans
57%
Pangolier
Pangolier
381 picks · 521 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 52%
Hero pool strength54% Xtreme Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total82% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed16:35
Xtreme Gaming 68%HULIGANI 32%
The model gave 68% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 44:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Wraith King
Wraith KingXxs
41% · 26 games50% · 214 games
Morphlingv1olent-
Morphling
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritXm
48% · 260 games54% · 318 games
Tinyerase
Tiny
Ursa
UrsaAme
46% · 137 games55% · 158 games
MagnusMalik
Magnus
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightXinQ
56% · 96 games49% · 185 games
JakiroRESPECT
Jakiro
Phoenix
Phoenix天命
48% · 389 games45% · 33 games
Ringmastermrls
Ringmaster
Game 2prediction missed15:40
Xtreme Gaming 68%HULIGANI 32%
The model gave 68% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 41:46.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sven
SvenAme
50% · 137 games55% · 135 games
Ursav1olent-
Ursa
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainXm
43% · 90 games53% · 160 games
Storm Spiriterase
Storm Spirit
Tidehunter
TidehunterXxs
53% · 109 games56% · 192 games
Dark SeerMalik
Dark Seer
Night Stalker
Night StalkerXinQ
43% · 89 games48% · 67 games
Ancient ApparitionRESPECT
Ancient Apparition
Jakiro
Jakiro天命
53% · 188 games45% · 59 games
Bounty Huntermrls
Bounty Hunter
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 82%
Series resultHULIGANI 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2