?
arrow_backBack to match
Riyadh Masters 2025 · BO2
result vs prediction
Xtreme Gamingloss 0:2
series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Natus Vincerewin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Xtreme Gaming

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Ame · 31 game
48%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
XinQ · 29 games
69%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Xm · 24 games
50%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
天命 · 23 games
61%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
Ame · 23 games
61%
Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
Poloson · 22 games
64%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Ame · 21 game
52%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Xxs · 20 games
65%

Natus Vincere

Warlock
Warlocksignature
Kaori · 25 games
68%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Sancity · 23 games
65%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Kaori · 20 games
60%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Shad · 17 games
47%
Magnus
Magnussignature
BOOM · 17 games
65%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Ari · 17 games
59%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Copy · 15 games
40%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Ari · 12 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
471 picks · 512 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
471 picks · 502 bans
48%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
393 picks · 210 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
369 picks · 363 bans
47%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
361 picks · 765 bans
47%
Pangolier
Pangolier
350 picks · 528 bans
50%
Jakiro
Jakiro
349 picks · 236 bans
45%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
329 picks · 494 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 57%
Hero pool strength50% Natus Vincere
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total60% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed12:31
Xtreme Gaming 55%Natus Vincere 45%
The model gave 55% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Natus Vincere in 36:12.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendAme
50% · 109 games54% · 143 games
Templar Assassingotthejuice
Templar Assassin
Kunkka
KunkkaXm
45% · 131 game45% · 282 games
Pangolierpma
Pangolier
Dark Seer
Dark SeerXxs
55% · 193 games53% · 63 games
UndyingNiku
Undying
Marci
MarciXinQ
51% · 119 games46% · 80 games
AbaddonRiddys
Abaddon
Bane
BanePoloson
52% · 70 games49% · 54 games
DisruptorZayac
Disruptor
Game 2prediction missed21:20
Xtreme Gaming 54%Natus Vincere 46%
The model gave 54% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Natus Vincere in 42:56.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Lancer
Phantom LancerAme
little data58% · 137 games
Templar Assassingotthejuice
Templar Assassin
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendXm
50% · 76 games56% · 48 games
Axepma
Axe
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerXxs
43% · 87 games52% · 47 games
LeshracNiku
Leshrac
Tusk
TuskXinQ
48% · 154 games48% · 40 games
DisruptorZayac
Disruptor
Dazzle
DazzlePoloson
55% · 26 games45% · 71 game
AbaddonRiddys
Abaddon
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 60%
Series resultNatus Vincere 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2