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BLAST Slam V · BO1
result vs prediction
Xtreme Gamingloss 0:1
series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 0:1
OGwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Xtreme Gaming

Warlock
Warlocksignature
xNova · 21 game
62%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Pyw · 19 games
79%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Xm · 18 games
50%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Xm · 16 games
75%
Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
xNova · 14 games
64%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Xxs · 13 games
69%
Tusk
Tusk
XinQ · 13 games
46%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
Xxs · 12 games
58%

OG

Jakiro
Jakiro
Kidaro · 30 games
43%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Daze · 25 games
56%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Shad · 23 games
48%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
MikSa` · 23 games
35%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Stojkov · 22 games
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Daze · 21 game
43%
Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
Lelis · 20 games
55%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Stojkov · 20 games
45%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
778 picks · 355 bans
53%
Disruptor
Disruptor
583 picks · 589 bans
51%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
568 picks · 299 bans
51%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
474 picks · 546 bans
50%
Jakiro
Jakiro
472 picks · 292 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
467 picks · 273 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
454 picks · 743 bans
50%
Puck
Puck
436 picks · 1117 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 43%
Hero pool strength58% Xtreme Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total62% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed13:28
Xtreme Gaming 56%OG 44%
The model gave 56% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by OG in 42:14.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeAme
45% · 259 games58% · 383 games
Nature's ProphetNatsumi
Nature's Prophet
Beastmaster
BeastmasterXxs
48% · 287 games50% · 333 games
MarsYopaj
Mars
Earthshaker
EarthshakerNothingToSay
49% · 174 games52% · 232 games
Dark SeerForce
Dark Seer
Jakiro
JakiroxNova
48% · 340 games58% · 46 games
VenomancerSkem
Venomancer
Hoodwink
Hoodwinkfy
46% · 216 games49% · 282 games
Shadow DemonTims
Shadow Demon
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 62%
Series resultOG 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1