BLAST Slam VI · BO1
result vs prediction
Xtreme Gamingwin 1:0series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 1:0
OGloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Xtreme Gaming
Warlock
xNova · 19 games
Shadow Demonsignature
fy · 18 games
Primal Beastsignature
Xxs · 16 games
Puckoften banned
NothingToSay · 13 games
Snapfiresignature
fy · 13 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Xxs · 12 games
Hoodwink
fy · 12 games
Marsoften banned
Xxs · 12 games
OG
Snapfire
Daze · 30 games
Shadow Demonsignature
Tims · 25 games
Dragon Knightsignature
Yopaj · 22 games
Jakirooften banned
Skem · 21 game
Templar Assassinoften banned
Shad · 21 game
Axeoften banned
Force · 19 games
Beastmasteroften banned
MikSa` · 19 games
Marssignature
Force · 19 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
600 picks · 937 bans
Tusk
540 picks · 428 bans
Centaur Warrunner
491 picks · 643 bans
Dragon Knight
486 picks · 653 bans
Shadow Demon
439 picks · 947 bans
Ember Spirit
393 picks · 654 bans
Mars
389 picks · 527 bans
Warlock
379 picks · 233 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 61%
Hero pool strength53% Xtreme Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total52% OG
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct28:12
Xtreme Gaming 52%OG 48%
The model gave 52% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 40:13.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
ClinkzAme
BeastmasterYopaj
KunkkaNothingToSay
Queen of PainNatsumi
SlardarXxs
AxeForce
Snapfirefy
Skywrath MageTims
DisruptorxNova
ClockwerkSkem
Model check result
Model favoriteOG · 52%
Series resultXtreme Gaming 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 1