?
arrow_backBack to match
BLAST Slam VII. Закрытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Xtreme Gamingwin 2:0
series probability
96%4%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Roar Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Xtreme Gaming

Warlock
Warlock
xNova · 29 games
48%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
Xxs · 28 games
64%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Xxs · 25 games
40%
Tusk
Tusk
fy · 25 games
48%
Phoenix
Phoenix
xNova · 23 games
52%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
fy · 23 games
74%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
Xxs · 22 games
77%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
xNova · 21 game
52%

Roar Gaming

Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Ulu · 15 games
33%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
RedPanda · 14 games
29%
Disruptor
Disruptor
RedPanda · 12 games
50%
Tusk
Tusk
CatYou · 12 games
25%
Snapfire
Snapfire
RedPanda · 11 games
45%
Puck
Puckoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 10 games
50%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 9 games
22%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 8 games
38%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
679 picks · 841 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
572 picks · 572 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
501 picks · 426 bans
48%
Warlock
Warlock
472 picks · 334 bans
48%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
417 picks · 1147 bans
57%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
408 picks · 689 bans
56%
Mars
Mars
398 picks · 621 bans
48%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
394 picks · 1028 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)51% vs 55%
Hero pool strength60% Xtreme Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total96% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Xtreme Gaming 96%Roar Gaming 4%
The model gave 96% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming.
Game 2prediction correct39:16
Xtreme Gaming 85%Roar Gaming 15%
The model gave 85% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 33:24.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Monkey King
Monkey KingAme
51% · 179 games49% · 230 games
Templar Assassinukiyo
Templar Assassin
Mars
MarsXxs
43% · 339 games54% · 276 games
Batrider生死
Batrider
Huskar
HuskarNothingToSay
52% · 89 games47% · 254 games
Queen of PainButterflyEffect
Queen of Pain
Io
Iofy
55% · 19 games59% · 49 games
RubickLOyd
Rubick
Disruptor
DisruptorxNova
48% · 373 games50% · 190 games
Void SpiritCatYou
Void Spirit
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 96%
Series resultXtreme Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2