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BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024 · BO3
result vs prediction
Xtreme Gamingloss 0:2
series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Liquidwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Xtreme Gaming

Mars
Marsoften banned
JT- · 5 games
60%
Mirana
Mirana
XinQ · 5 games
40%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Xxs · 5 games
60%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Xm · 5 games
60%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
XinQ · 4 games
100%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Xxs · 4 games
100%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
XinQ · 4 games
50%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Xxs · 4 games
25%

Team Liquid

Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Nisha · 12 games
67%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spiritsignature
iNSaNiA · 12 games
67%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
Nisha · 11 games
73%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Boxi · 10 games
60%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
Nisha · 10 games
60%
Luna
Lunasignature
miCKe · 10 games
80%
Muerta
Muertasignature
Boxi · 10 games
60%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Boxi · 9 games
78%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
373 picks · 570 bans
56%
Lion
Lion
339 picks · 292 bans
53%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
333 picks · 285 bans
52%
Phoenix
Phoenix
316 picks · 464 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
296 picks · 416 bans
52%
Magnus
Magnus
292 picks · 478 bans
56%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
286 picks · 458 bans
51%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
284 picks · 782 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 54%
Hero pool strength52% Team Liquid
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total54% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct17:34
Xtreme Gaming 46%Team Liquid 54%
The model gave 54% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 56:25.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Naga Siren
Naga SirenAme
49% · 104 games48% · 167 games
Templar AssassinmiCKe
Templar Assassin
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritXm
44% · 192 games51% · 27 games
DazzleNisha
Dazzle
Primal Beast
Primal BeastXxs
45% · 148 games59% · 144 games
Alchemist33
Alchemist
Winter Wyvern
Winter WyvernXinQ
54% · 21 game53% · 68 games
OracleiNSaNiA
Oracle
Techies
TechiesDy
50% · 180 games50% · 239 games
TinyBoxi
Tiny
Game 2prediction correct16:22
Xtreme Gaming 48%Team Liquid 52%
The model gave 52% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 36:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Primal Beast
Primal BeastXxs
56% · 317 games52% · 126 games
Templar AssassinmiCKe
Templar Assassin
Viper
ViperXm
61% · 41 game48% · 162 games
PuckNisha
Puck
Spectre
SpectreAme
48% · 74 games47% · 69 games
Brewmaster33
Brewmaster
Tiny
TinyXinQ
55% · 302 games44% · 221 game
EnchantressiNSaNiA
Enchantress
Phoenix
PhoenixDy
49% · 232 games43% · 388 games
RubickBoxi
Rubick
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 54%
Series resultTeam Liquid 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2