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The International 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Xtreme Gamingloss 0:2
series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Resiliencewin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Xtreme Gaming

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
fy · 34 games
62%
Phoenix
Phoenix
xNova · 32 games
44%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Ame · 21 game
52%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Xxs · 20 games
45%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Ame · 18 games
56%
Kez
Kezoften banned
Ame · 18 games
39%
Rubick
Rubick
fy · 18 games
44%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
NothingToSay · 18 games
44%

Team Resilience

Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Echo · 13 games
54%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvernsignature
zzq · 13 games
69%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
Echo · 10 games
70%
Kez
Kezsignature
poyoyo · 10 games
70%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
niu · 9 games
67%
Puck
Pucksignature
Echo · 8 games
63%
Rubick
Rubick
pLAnet · 8 games
50%
Sand King
Sand King
Echo · 8 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
513 picks · 361 bans
51%
Bane
Bane
359 picks · 432 bans
56%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
348 picks · 619 bans
51%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
330 picks · 481 bans
56%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
317 picks · 610 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
311 picks · 346 bans
50%
Rubick
Rubick
304 picks · 166 bans
50%
Windranger
Windranger
304 picks · 219 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)31% vs 59%
Hero pool strength56% Team Resilience
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total65% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed10:28
Xtreme Gaming 57%Team Resilience 43%
The model gave 57% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Team Resilience in 34:12.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Lancer
Phantom LancerAme
45% · 21 game55% · 86 games
Necrophospoyoyo
Necrophos
Timbersaw
TimbersawXxs
47% · 121 game55% · 210 games
InvokerEcho
Invoker
Pangolier
PangolierNothingToSay
46% · 204 games54% · 271 game
Axeniu
Axe
Rubick
Rubickfy
45% · 143 games51% · 128 games
MiranapLAnet
Mirana
Hoodwink
HoodwinkxNova
48% · 386 games51% · 180 games
Undyingzzq
Undying
Game 2prediction missed13:35
Xtreme Gaming 55%Team Resilience 45%
The model gave 55% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Team Resilience in 35:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetAme
56% · 99 games50% · 204 games
Kezpoyoyo
Kez
Puck
PuckNothingToSay
48% · 284 games50% · 183 games
Doomniu
Doom
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerXxs
53% · 240 games43% · 140 games
EarthshakerEcho
Earthshaker
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breakerfy
53% · 48 games52% · 134 games
Keeper of the LightpLAnet
Keeper of the Light
Winter Wyvern
Winter WyvernxNova
46% · 101 game49% · 111 games
Miranazzq
Mirana
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 65%
Series resultTeam Resilience 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2