ESL Challenger China Season 3 x ACL 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Yakult Brotherswin 2:0series probability
84%16%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Cloud Dawningloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Yakult Brothers
Jakiro
天命 · 21 game
Puckoften banned
Moon · 19 games
Batrideroften banned
BoBoKa · 18 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Moon · 17 games
Tinysignature
BoBoKa · 17 games
Leshracoften banned
Moon · 16 games
Weaversignature
flyfly · 16 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Yang · 14 games
Cloud Dawning
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
515 picks · 422 bans
Hoodwink
476 picks · 250 bans
Phoenix
474 picks · 536 bans
Tiny
464 picks · 355 bans
Tusk
414 picks · 356 bans
Beastmaster
360 picks · 807 bans
Puck
353 picks · 859 bans
Warlock
348 picks · 203 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)31% vs 50%
Hero pool strength52% Cloud Dawning
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total84% Yakult Brothers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct44:35
Yakult Brothers 84%Cloud Dawning 16%
The model gave 84% on Yakult Brothers — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers in 1:13:07.
Game 2prediction correct26:12
Yakult Brothers 84%Cloud Dawning 16%
The model gave 84% on Yakult Brothers — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers in 41:40.
Model check result
Model favoriteYakult Brothers · 84%
Series resultYakult Brothers 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2