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The International 2026. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Yakult Brotherswin 2:0
series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Game Masterloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Yakult Brothers

Tiny
Tinysignature
BoBoKa · 20 games
65%
Muerta
Muertasignature
BoBoKa · 14 games
64%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Moon · 14 games
43%
Jakiro
Jakiro
天命 · 13 games
38%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
Moon · 13 games
31%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
天命 · 13 games
62%
Largo
Largooften banned
天命 · 12 games
42%
Weaver
Weaversignature
flyfly · 12 games
75%

Game Master

Largo
Largooften banned
TK · 5 games
60%
Snapfire
Snapfireoften banned
Moon · 5 games
100%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Monet · 4 games
75%
Kez
Kezoften banned
flyfly · 4 games
75%
Mars
Marsoften banned
JT- · 4 games
50%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Moon · 4 games
50%
Drow Ranger
Drow Rangeroften banned
flyfly · 3 games
67%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
7e · 3 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
635 picks · 433 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
554 picks · 312 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
487 picks · 588 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
461 picks · 393 bans
48%
Pangolier
Pangolier
435 picks · 645 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
351 picks · 1016 bans
57%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
345 picks · 530 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
341 picks · 302 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 67%
Hero pool strength53% Game Master
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total70% Yakult Brothers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct24:11
Yakult Brothers 58%Game Master 42%
The model gave 58% on Yakult Brothers — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers in 25:20.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Windranger
Windrangerlou
53% · 274 games49% · 219 games
SnapfireJT-
Snapfire
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritSetsu
51% · 500 games53% · 174 games
Kezflyfly
Kez
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerXiangyu
47% · 217 games51% · 386 games
Storm SpiritMoon
Storm Spirit
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanKaka
52% · 209 games48% · 225 games
RubickPyw
Rubick
Mirana
MiranaRedPanda
46% · 36 games46% · 232 games
DisruptorTK
Disruptor
Game 2prediction correct25:9
Yakult Brothers 60%Game Master 40%
The model gave 60% on Yakult Brothers — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers in 23:31.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lifestealer
Lifestealerlou
45% · 131 game51% · 264 games
UnderlordJT-
Underlord
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritSetsu
48% · 420 games53% · 122 games
Weaverflyfly
Weaver
Brewmaster
BrewmasterXiangyu
46% · 178 games48% · 422 games
SnapfireMoon
Snapfire
Hoodwink
HoodwinkKaka
53% · 681 game51% · 334 games
RubickPyw
Rubick
Bane
BaneRedPanda
53% · 195 games53% · 463 games
TuskTK
Tusk
Model check result
Model favoriteYakult Brothers · 70%
Series resultYakult Brothers 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2