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DreamLeague Season 26 · BO2
result vs prediction
Yakult Brothersloss 1:1
series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Natus Vincere Juniorloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Yakult Brothers

Clockwerk
Clockwerk
天命 · 22 games
59%
Phoenix
Phoenix
天命 · 19 games
58%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Emo · 18 games
44%
Puck
Pucksignature
Emo · 16 games
69%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Emo · 16 games
69%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
zeal · 16 games
50%
Batrider
Batrider
BoBoKa · 15 games
40%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
zeal · 15 games
53%

Natus Vincere Junior

Phoenix
Phoenix
Riddys · 32 games
59%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Niku · 30 games
60%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
gotthejuice · 25 games
60%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
pma · 23 games
61%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
gotthejuice · 22 games
64%
Lich
Lich
Riddys · 22 games
59%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
pma · 21 game
57%
Puck
Pucksignature
Niku · 19 games
74%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
494 picks · 486 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
401 picks · 548 bans
51%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
362 picks · 169 bans
51%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
279 picks · 535 bans
47%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
262 picks · 372 bans
52%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassin
260 picks · 516 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
260 picks · 149 bans
48%
Muerta
Muerta
258 picks · 145 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 50%
Hero pool strength53% Natus Vincere Junior
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Natus Vincere Junior
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct6:17
Yakult Brothers 48%Natus Vincere Junior 52%
The model gave 52% on Natus Vincere Junior — the game was taken by Natus Vincere Junior in 29:47.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeflyfly
50% · 243 games48% · 184 games
Templar Assassingotthejuice
Templar Assassin
Sand King
Sand KingBEYOND
52% · 255 games55% · 253 games
PuckNiku
Puck
Void Spirit
Void SpiritEmo
54% · 57 games53% · 247 games
Bristlebackpma
Bristleback
Windranger
WindrangerBoBoKa
45% · 217 games44% · 252 games
SnapfireZayac
Snapfire
Phoenix
PhoenixOli
52% · 351 game49% · 187 games
RingmasterRiddys
Ringmaster
Game 2prediction missed22:8
Yakult Brothers 49%Natus Vincere Junior 51%
The model gave 51% on Natus Vincere Junior — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers in 25:43.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
Morphlingflyfly
46% · 262 games50% · 136 games
Nature's Prophetgotthejuice
Nature's Prophet
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritEmo
56% · 265 games49% · 141 game
Tidehunterpma
Tidehunter
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerBEYOND
48% · 156 games42% · 369 games
PangolierNiku
Pangolier
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightBoBoKa
60% · 78 games50% · 143 games
Elder TitanRiddys
Elder Titan
Silencer
SilencerOli
47% · 92 games54% · 64 games
Shadow ShamanZayac
Shadow Shaman
Model check result
Model favoriteNatus Vincere Junior · 52%
Accuracy by game1 of 2