BLAST Slam VII. Закрытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Yakult Brotherswin 2:0series probability
91%9%
probability at match start · final 2:0
NNGNBloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Yakult Brothers
Jakirooften banned
天命 · 27 games
Batrideroften banned
BoBoKa · 21 game
Puckoften banned
Moon · 19 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Emo · 19 games
Leshrac
Moon · 17 games
Tinyoften banned
BoBoKa · 17 games
Weaversignature
flyfly · 15 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Yang · 14 games
NGNB
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
678 picks · 843 bans
Tiny
572 picks · 578 bans
Tusk
501 picks · 429 bans
Warlock
476 picks · 334 bans
Shadow Demon
417 picks · 1147 bans
Ember Spirit
407 picks · 691 bans
Mars
396 picks · 621 bans
Shadow Fiend
395 picks · 1029 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)32% vs 50%
Hero pool strength56% NGNB
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total91% Yakult Brothers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Yakult Brothers 91%NGNB 9%
The model gave 91% on Yakult Brothers — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers.
Game 2prediction correct
Yakult Brothers 91%NGNB 9%
The model gave 91% on Yakult Brothers — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers.
Model check result
Model favoriteYakult Brothers · 91%
Series resultYakult Brothers 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2