BLAST Slam IX. Закрытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Yakult Brotherswin 2:0series probability
89%11%
probability at match start · final 2:0
NGNovus Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Yakult Brothers
Lionsignature
Kaka · 23 games
Hoodwink
Kaka · 18 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Emo · 14 games
Puckoften banned
Emo · 13 games
Winter Wyvern
天命 · 13 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Emo · 12 games
Miranasignature
天命 · 12 games
Timbersawsignature
BEYOND · 11 games
Novus Gaming
Anti-Mageoften banned
Monet · 1 game
Hoodwink
Rico · 1 game
Lion
Rico · 1 game
Techiesoften banned
Rico · 1 game
Timbersawoften banned
JT- · 1 game
Tinyoften banned
RA1NCLOUD · 1 game
Vengeful Spirit
RA1NCLOUD · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
565 picks · 371 bans
Dark Willow
502 picks · 299 bans
Mirana
424 picks · 189 bans
Winter Wyvern
397 picks · 358 bans
Ember Spirit
356 picks · 545 bans
Windranger
349 picks · 172 bans
Earth Spirit
307 picks · 564 bans
Centaur Warrunner
302 picks · 303 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 57%
Hero pool strength53% Yakult Brothers
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total89% Yakult Brothers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Yakult Brothers 89%Novus Gaming 11%
The model gave 89% on Yakult Brothers — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers.
Game 2prediction correct
Yakult Brothers 89%Novus Gaming 11%
The model gave 89% on Yakult Brothers — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers.
Model check result
Model favoriteYakult Brothers · 89%
Series resultYakult Brothers 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2