?
arrow_backBack to match
The International 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Yakult Brotherswin 2:0
series probability
90%10%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Curtainloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Yakult Brothers

Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Emo · 26 games
62%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
BoBoKa · 23 games
57%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
zeal · 22 games
45%
Phoenix
Phoenix
天命 · 21 game
52%
Magnus
Magnussignature
BoBoKa · 20 games
60%
Puck
Pucksignature
Emo · 19 games
63%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Emo · 19 games
42%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
BoBoKa · 17 games
35%

Team Curtain

Lion
Lion
Hara · 3 games
67%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
Nevermine · 3 games
33%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
Nevermine · 2 games
100%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
Nevermine · 2 games
50%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Summer · 2 games
50%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Shanks · 2 games
50%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Nevermine · 1 game
100%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Shanks · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
520 picks · 584 bans
51%
Jakiro
Jakiro
486 picks · 438 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
468 picks · 235 bans
52%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
367 picks · 749 bans
48%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
336 picks · 768 bans
55%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
335 picks · 511 bans
51%
Tusk
Tusk
320 picks · 291 bans
49%
Windranger
Windranger
306 picks · 93 bans
45%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 50%
Hero pool strength53% Yakult Brothers
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total90% Yakult Brothers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct22:7
Yakult Brothers 76%Team Curtain 24%
The model gave 76% on Yakult Brothers — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers in 34:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeflyfly
44% · 96 games53% · 35 games
Death ProphetShanks
Death Prophet
Enigma
EnigmaELeVeN
55% · 84 games54% · 238 games
Dark SeerNevermine
Dark Seer
Pangolier
PangolierEmo
44% · 224 games50% · 166 games
UrsaSummer
Ursa
Rubick
RubickBoBoKa
48% · 125 games52% · 136 games
Nyx AssassinHara
Nyx Assassin
Silencer
SilencerOli
49% · 46 games
Game 2prediction correct30:6
Yakult Brothers 78%Team Curtain 22%
The model gave 78% on Yakult Brothers — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers in 18:50.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinflyfly
48% · 138 games43% · 224 games
Dragon KnightSummer
Dragon Knight
Void Spirit
Void SpiritEmo
51% · 69 games51% · 37 games
HuskarShanks
Huskar
Bristleback
BristlebackELeVeN
58% · 223 games43% · 249 games
PangolierNevermine
Pangolier
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetBoBoKa
54% · 135 games50% · 83 games
RubickHara
Rubick
Bane
BaneOli
64% · 28 games
Model check result
Model favoriteYakult Brothers · 90%
Series resultYakult Brothers 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2