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BetBoom Dacha Dota 2 2024 · BO3
result vs prediction
Yakult Brotherswin 2:1
series probability
10%90%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Team Liquidloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Yakult Brothers

Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Poloson · 12 games
33%
Invoker
Invokersignature
Emo · 9 games
67%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
zeal · 9 games
44%
Muerta
Muerta
BoBoKa · 8 games
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Poloson · 7 games
57%
Puck
Pucksignature
Emo · 7 games
71%
Luna
Lunasignature
flyfly · 6 games
67%
Mirana
Mirana
BoBoKa · 6 games
50%

Team Liquid

Tiny
Tinysignature
Nisha · 22 games
73%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Nisha · 21 game
43%
Razor
Razorsignature
miCKe · 20 games
75%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
33 · 19 games
58%
Doom
Doomsignature
33 · 19 games
74%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
33 · 18 games
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Boxi · 18 games
61%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
miCKe · 18 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
352 picks · 310 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
344 picks · 478 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
336 picks · 459 bans
52%
Snapfire
Snapfire
324 picks · 209 bans
50%
Enchantress
Enchantress
315 picks · 592 bans
51%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
282 picks · 458 bans
47%
Luna
Luna
264 picks · 330 bans
57%
Windranger
Windranger
263 picks · 365 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)36% vs 61%
Hero pool strength55% Team Liquid
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total90% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed26:8
Yakult Brothers 23%Team Liquid 77%
The model gave 77% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers in 33:31.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendflyfly
44% · 116 games47% · 151 game
LunamiCKe
Luna
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritEmo
43% · 209 games53% · 115 games
Sand KingSabeRLight-
Sand King
Enigma
Enigmazeal
47% · 108 games57% · 141 game
Storm SpiritNisha
Storm Spirit
Nyx Assassin
Nyx AssassinBoBoKa
49% · 105 games49% · 193 games
EnchantressiNSaNiA
Enchantress
Naga Siren
Naga SirenPoloson
56% · 156 games54% · 94 games
LionBoxi
Lion
Game 2prediction correct3:19
Yakult Brothers 25%Team Liquid 75%
The model gave 75% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 20:49.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
Morphlingflyfly
47% · 182 games53% · 148 games
Templar AssassinmiCKe
Templar Assassin
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritEmo
57% · 147 games46% · 96 games
Earth SpiritNisha
Earth Spirit
Visage
Visagezeal
40% · 43 games50% · 209 games
BeastmasterSabeRLight-
Beastmaster
Clockwerk
ClockwerkBoBoKa
55% · 233 games50% · 125 games
PugnaiNSaNiA
Pugna
Phoenix
PhoenixPoloson
51% · 227 games46% · 254 games
Dark WillowBoxi
Dark Willow
Game 3prediction missed54:36
Yakult Brothers 26%Team Liquid 74%
The model gave 74% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers in 1:01:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
Lunaflyfly
54% · 200 games44% · 103 games
MedusamiCKe
Medusa
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritEmo
57% · 75 games47% · 88 games
Sand KingSabeRLight-
Sand King
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakerzeal
42% · 45 games53% · 104 games
Monkey KingNisha
Monkey King
Lion
LionBoBoKa
52% · 116 games48% · 258 games
EnchantressiNSaNiA
Enchantress
Clockwerk
ClockwerkPoloson
55% · 237 games45% · 120 games
MuertaBoxi
Muerta
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 90%
Series resultYakult Brothers 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3