FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO5
result vs prediction
Yakult Brotherswin 3:0series probability
80%20%
probability at match start · final 3:0
Titanloss 0:3The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Yakult Brothers
Enchantressoften banned
Poloson · 16 games
Clockwerkoften banned
Poloson · 15 games
Invokersignature
Emo · 14 games
Muerta
BoBoKa · 12 games
Medusasignature
flyfly · 11 games
Phoenix
天命 · 11 games
Pucksignature
Emo · 11 games
Tusksignature
Poloson · 11 games
Titan
Grimstroke
mercy · 1 game
Primal Beastoften banned
BEYOND · 1 game
Sand Kingoften banned
Echo · 1 game
Shadow Fiendoften banned
poyoyo · 1 game
Tuskoften banned
zzq · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Clockwerk
436 picks · 523 bans
Tusk
436 picks · 533 bans
Pangolier
379 picks · 570 bans
Muerta
367 picks · 283 bans
Batrider
362 picks · 401 bans
Dark Willow
346 picks · 172 bans
Beastmaster
333 picks · 728 bans
Lion
319 picks · 144 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 58%
Hero pool strength59% Yakult Brothers
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total80% Yakult Brothers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct8:24
Yakult Brothers 80%Titan 20%
The model gave 80% on Yakult Brothers — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers in 35:05.
Game 2prediction correct21:27
Yakult Brothers 80%Titan 20%
The model gave 80% on Yakult Brothers — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers in 1:06:21.
Game 3prediction correct29:39
Yakult Brothers 80%Titan 20%
The model gave 80% on Yakult Brothers — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers in 52:48.
Model check result
Model favoriteYakult Brothers · 80%
Series resultYakult Brothers 3:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 3