FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Yakult Brotherswin 2:0series probability
89%11%
probability at match start · final 2:0
TCToy Cartloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Yakult Brothers
Enchantressoften banned
Poloson · 16 games
Clockwerkoften banned
Poloson · 14 games
Invokersignature
Emo · 12 games
Medusasignature
flyfly · 11 games
Muerta
BoBoKa · 11 games
Pucksignature
Emo · 11 games
Tusksignature
Poloson · 10 games
Alchemistsignature
flyfly · 9 games
Toy Cart
Phoenix
Ulu · 2 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Op · 1 game
Magnusoften banned
Yumeyume · 1 game
Meepooften banned
Yumeyume · 1 game
Monkey Kingoften banned
Xwy · 1 game
Sniperoften banned
Xwy · 1 game
Viperoften banned
Op · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
474 picks · 595 bans
Clockwerk
452 picks · 528 bans
Pangolier
389 picks · 572 bans
Dark Willow
375 picks · 185 bans
Batrider
368 picks · 406 bans
Muerta
361 picks · 270 bans
Beastmaster
334 picks · 705 bans
Invoker
334 picks · 921 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 60%
Hero pool strength55% Toy Cart
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total89% Yakult Brothers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct33:20
Yakult Brothers 73%Toy Cart 27%
The model gave 73% on Yakult Brothers — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers in 34:05.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
MorphlingAme
TidehunterOp
Bristlebackzeal
MagnusYumeyume
InvokerEmo
SniperXwy
MuertaBoBoKa
LichUlu
Clockwerk天命
Game 2prediction correct
Yakult Brothers 89%Toy Cart 11%
The model gave 89% on Yakult Brothers — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers.
Model check result
Model favoriteYakult Brothers · 89%
Series resultYakult Brothers 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2