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Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 1 — ЮВА 2-й дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Yangon Galacticosloss 1:2
series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Army Geniuseswin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Yangon Galacticos

Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Young PH · 4 games
50%
Anti-Mage
Anti-Mageoften banned
Young PH · 3 games
67%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Young PH · 3 games
33%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Young PH · 2 games
100%
Riki
Rikioften banned
Young PH · 2 games
50%
Spectre
Spectreoften banned
Young PH · 2 games
0%
Ursa
Ursaoften banned
Young PH · 2 games
100%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
Young PH · 1 game
0%

Army Geniuses

Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
Lym- · 8 games
63%
Mirana
Mirana
Lym- · 6 games
50%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
MamangDaya · 5 games
40%
Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
db- · 5 games
0%
Riki
Rikioften banned
db- · 4 games
50%
Io
Iooften banned
db- · 3 games
33%
Legion Commander
Legion Commanderoften banned
woMy · 3 games
0%
Night Stalker
Night Stalkeroften banned
woMy · 3 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
252 picks · 524 bans
55%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
234 picks · 282 bans
58%
Mars
Mars
209 picks · 381 bans
48%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
199 picks · 154 bans
49%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Light
170 picks · 296 bans
57%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
165 picks · 527 bans
58%
Phoenix
Phoenix
165 picks · 192 bans
57%
Wraith King
Wraith King
159 picks · 210 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 26%
Hero pool strength51% Yangon Galacticos
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total57% Yangon Galacticos
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteYangon Galacticos · 57%
Series resultArmy Geniuses 1:2
Series predictionmissed