The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Yangon Galacticoswin 2:0series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 2:0
InterActive Philippinesloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Yangon Galacticos
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Young PH · 6 games
Slarkoften banned
Ksh · 3 games
Gyrocopter
Ksh · 2 games
Invokeroften banned
Young PH · 2 games
Snapfireoften banned
Young PH · 2 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Young PH · 2 games
Treant Protectoroften banned
Ponyo · 2 games
Ursaoften banned
Ksh · 2 games
InterActive Philippines
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
616 picks · 399 bans
Rubick
517 picks · 288 bans
Phoenix
481 picks · 584 bans
Tiny
465 picks · 387 bans
Pangolier
424 picks · 595 bans
Puck
343 picks · 969 bans
Tusk
339 picks · 283 bans
Ember Spirit
333 picks · 502 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)29% vs 33%
Hero pool strength55% InterActive Philippines
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% Yangon Galacticos
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct44:11
Yangon Galacticos 64%InterActive Philippines 36%
The model gave 64% on Yangon Galacticos — the game was taken by Yangon Galacticos in 29:25.
Game 2prediction correct48:23
Yangon Galacticos 64%InterActive Philippines 36%
The model gave 64% on Yangon Galacticos — the game was taken by Yangon Galacticos in 41:19.
Model check result
Model favoriteYangon Galacticos · 64%
Series resultYangon Galacticos 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2