BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Yangon Galacticosloss 1:2series probability
32%68%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Kukuyswin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Yangon Galacticos
Ember Spiritoften banned
Young PH · 5 games
Morphlingoften banned
Ksh · 5 games
Puckoften banned
Young PH · 5 games
Troll Warlordoften banned
Ksh · 5 games
Weaveroften banned
Ksh · 3 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Ksh · 2 games
Faceless Voidoften banned
Ksh · 2 games
Invokeroften banned
Young PH · 2 games
Kukuys
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
358 picks · 406 bans
Rubick
357 picks · 345 bans
Jakiro
347 picks · 258 bans
Pangolier
322 picks · 508 bans
Sven
294 picks · 305 bans
Snapfire
291 picks · 260 bans
Windranger
279 picks · 382 bans
Dragon Knight
275 picks · 455 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 67%
Hero pool strength51% Yangon Galacticos
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total68% Kukuys
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct14:27
Yangon Galacticos 32%Kukuys 68%
The model gave 68% on Kukuys — the game was taken by Kukuys in 31:01.
Game 2prediction missed28:21
Yangon Galacticos 32%Kukuys 68%
The model gave 68% on Kukuys — the game was taken by Yangon Galacticos in 40:14.
Game 3prediction correct5:19
Yangon Galacticos 32%Kukuys 68%
The model gave 68% on Kukuys — the game was taken by Kukuys in 33:27.
Model check result
Model favoriteKukuys · 68%
Series resultKukuys 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3