Khaz Modan Cup Season 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Yangon Galacticosloss 0:2series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Mist Walkerwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Yangon Galacticos
Ember Spiritoften banned
Young PH · 8 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
Ksh · 6 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Young PH · 5 games
Juggernautoften banned
Ksh · 2 games
Lifestealeroften banned
Ksh · 2 games
Morphlingoften banned
Ksh · 2 games
Puckoften banned
Young PH · 2 games
Anti-Mageoften banned
Ksh · 1 game
Mist Walker
Invokeroften banned
Xy · 1 game
Leshracoften banned
Xy · 1 game
Puckoften banned
Xy · 1 game
Templar Assassinoften banned
Xy · 1 game
Venomanceroften banned
Xy · 1 game
Void Spiritoften banned
Xy · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
510 picks · 450 bans
Mars
493 picks · 692 bans
Bane
458 picks · 290 bans
Dragon Knight
438 picks · 537 bans
Sand King
399 picks · 551 bans
Storm Spirit
397 picks · 635 bans
Pangolier
373 picks · 625 bans
Grimstroke
360 picks · 321 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 50%
Hero pool strength53% Mist Walker
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Yangon Galacticos
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Yangon Galacticos 51%Mist Walker 49%
The model gave 51% on Yangon Galacticos — the game was taken by Mist Walker.
Game 2prediction missed
Yangon Galacticos 51%Mist Walker 49%
The model gave 51% on Yangon Galacticos — the game was taken by Mist Walker.
Model check result
Model favoriteYangon Galacticos · 51%
Series resultMist Walker 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2