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ESL One Kuala Lumpur 2023. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Yangzhiganluloss 1:2
series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Bammysoywin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Yangzhiganlu

No games played over 6 months.

Bammysoy

Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
BliNcc · 5 games
60%
Tusk
Tusk
Husky · 5 games
80%
Lina
Linaoften banned
Mo13ei · 3 games
33%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
Sammyboy · 2 games
50%
Magnus
Magnus
Moo · 2 games
50%
Muerta
Muertaoften banned
Sammyboy · 2 games
0%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Arms · 2 games
50%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
RRL · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
237 picks · 109 bans
52%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
235 picks · 280 bans
52%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
227 picks · 268 bans
51%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
200 picks · 431 bans
63%
Pangolier
Pangolier
199 picks · 420 bans
53%
Phoenix
Phoenix
199 picks · 265 bans
47%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
178 picks · 279 bans
47%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
176 picks · 175 bans
60%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 67%
Hero pool strength53% Bammysoy
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Bammysoy
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct3:23
Yangzhiganlu 49%Bammysoy 51%
The model gave 51% on Bammysoy — the game was taken by Bammysoy in 32:57.
Game 2prediction correct29:8
Yangzhiganlu 49%Bammysoy 51%
The model gave 51% on Bammysoy — the game was taken by Bammysoy in 36:33.
Game 3prediction correct11:28
Yangzhiganlu 49%Bammysoy 51%
The model gave 51% on Bammysoy — the game was taken by Bammysoy in 42:02.
Model check result
Model favoriteBammysoy · 51%
Series resultBammysoy 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 3