ESL One Kuala Lumpur 2023. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Yangzhiganluwin 2:0series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 2:0
TRTeam Rocketloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Yangzhiganlu
No games played over 6 months.
Team Rocket
Dark Willow
Sanctified · 2 games
Muertaoften banned
BliNcc · 2 games
Spectreoften banned
Arms · 2 games
Zeus
Mo13ei · 2 games
Alchemist
Arms · 1 game
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Moo · 1 game
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Moo · 1 game
Dazzleoften banned
RRL · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
234 picks · 278 bans
Dark Willow
232 picks · 109 bans
Vengeful Spirit
225 picks · 271 bans
Pangolier
199 picks · 416 bans
Treant Protector
199 picks · 427 bans
Phoenix
196 picks · 263 bans
Earth Spirit
177 picks · 277 bans
Earthshaker
175 picks · 175 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 56%
Hero pool strength53% Team Rocket
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total66% Yangzhiganlu
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed33:26
Yangzhiganlu 66%Team Rocket 34%
The model gave 66% on Yangzhiganlu — the game was taken by Team Rocket in 34:59.
Game 2prediction missed34:26
Yangzhiganlu 66%Team Rocket 34%
The model gave 66% on Yangzhiganlu — the game was taken by Team Rocket in 36:41.
Model check result
Model favoriteYangzhiganlu · 66%
Series resultYangzhiganlu 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2