BetBoom Streamers Battle 10 · BO3
result vs prediction
YBN Teamwin 2:0series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Rostik Teamloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
YBN Team
Death Prophetoften banned
ybicanoooobov · 2 games
Huskaroften banned
ybicanoooobov · 2 games
Sand Kingoften banned
ybicanoooobov · 2 games
Wraith King
nesfeer · 2 games
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
good_mma · 1 game
Bounty Hunter
EARTHQ · 1 game
Brewmasteroften banned
Limitless · 1 game
Bristlebackoften banned
Limitless · 1 game
Rostik Team
Centaur Warrunner
9970- · 3 games
Abaddonoften banned
zvёzd · 2 games
Batrideroften banned
iful · 1 game
Bounty Hunter
iful · 1 game
Disruptor
Vlad · 1 game
Elder Titan
Vlad · 1 game
Faceless Void
zvёzd · 1 game
Leshrac
Vlad · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
476 picks · 450 bans
Tiny
464 picks · 536 bans
Ringmaster
439 picks · 221 bans
Terrorblade
342 picks · 637 bans
Storm Spirit
303 picks · 446 bans
Ancient Apparition
294 picks · 648 bans
Tusk
284 picks · 218 bans
Windranger
279 picks · 84 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 67%
Hero pool strength53% Rostik Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% YBN Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct41:14
YBN Team 52%Rostik Team 48%
The model gave 52% on YBN Team — the game was taken by YBN Team in 34:16.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
OmniknightLimitless
Gyrocopterzvёzd
Monkey Kingnesfeer
Mars9970-
Death Prophetybicanoooobov
IoVlad
Vengeful SpiritEARTHQ
Lioniful
Silencergood_mma
Game 2prediction missed34:17
YBN Team 49%Rostik Team 51%
The model gave 51% on Rostik Team — the game was taken by YBN Team in 38:53.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Weavernesfeer
Morphlingzvёzd
Dragon Knightybicanoooobov
Doom9970-
AbaddonLimitless
Slarkiful
LionEARTHQ
Witch DoctorVlad
Dazzlegood_mma
Model check result
Model favoriteYBN Team · 53%
Series resultYBN Team 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 2