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BETBOOM Streamers Battle 15 · BO3
result vs prediction
YBN Teamloss 0:2
series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Rostik Teamwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

YBN Team

Snapfire
Snapfire
ybicanoooobov · 4 games
0%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
ybicanoooobov · 3 games
67%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Shishak · 3 games
0%
Doom
Doomoften banned
kolya_kaBAN68 · 3 games
0%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Shishak · 3 games
33%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
dabex · 3 games
0%
Sand King
Sand King
ybicanoooobov · 3 games
33%
Alchemist
Alchemist
nesfeer · 2 games
50%

Rostik Team

Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
yurapivo · 1 game
100%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
egxrdemxn · 1 game
100%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
TA2000 · 1 game
100%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
rostislav_999 · 1 game
100%
Undying
Undyingoften banned
Vlad · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
488 picks · 295 bans
51%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
372 picks · 162 bans
50%
Mirana
Mirana
360 picks · 160 bans
53%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
325 picks · 482 bans
59%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
304 picks · 304 bans
55%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
292 picks · 472 bans
53%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
292 picks · 274 bans
59%
Undying
Undying
269 picks · 369 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)23% vs 38%
Hero pool strength66% Rostik Team
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total57% Rostik Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct39:42
YBN Team 47%Rostik Team 53%
The model gave 53% on Rostik Team — the game was taken by Rostik Team in 53:04.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinnesfeer
59% · 21 game48% · 455 games
Pangolierrostislav_999
Pangolier
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirittakizawa
53% · 60 games44% · 141 game
Brewmasteregxrdemxn
Brewmaster
Slardar
Slardarybicanoooobov
52% · 293 games52% · 246 games
UrsaTA2000
Ursa
Hoodwink
HoodwinkEARTHQ
55% · 496 games47% · 54 games
Ancient Apparitionyurapivo
Ancient Apparition
Tusk
Tuskbalod9l
48% · 400 games46% · 374 games
DisruptorVlad
Disruptor
Game 2prediction correct60:43
YBN Team 43%Rostik Team 57%
The model gave 57% on Rostik Team — the game was taken by Rostik Team in 45:53.
Game 3prediction correct22:43
YBN Team 46%Rostik Team 54%
The model gave 54% on Rostik Team — the game was taken by Rostik Team in 41:12.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Timbersaw
Timbersawtakizawa
50% · 129 games41% · 17 games
Outworld DestroyerTA2000
Outworld Destroyer
Alchemist
Alchemistnesfeer
49% · 60 games46% · 142 games
Void Spiritrostislav_999
Void Spirit
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakerybicanoooobov
43% · 58 games55% · 69 games
Enigmaegxrdemxn
Enigma
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath MageEARTHQ
44% · 45 games47% · 57 games
Silenceryurapivo
Silencer
Undying
Undyingbalod9l
48% · 110 games64% · 117 games
Winter WyvernVlad
Winter Wyvern
Model check result
Model favoriteRostik Team · 57%
Series resultRostik Team 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 3