BetBoom Streamers Battle 3 · BO1
result vs prediction
YBN Teamloss 0:1series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Stray Teamwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
YBN Team
Disruptor
dabex · 9 games
Hoodwinksignature
KingR · 9 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
XaKoH · 6 games
Crystal Maidensignature
dabex · 6 games
Beastmasteroften banned
XaKoH · 5 games
Ursaoften banned
Dinozavrik · 5 games
Zeusoften banned
ybicanoooobov · 5 games
Marcioften banned
layme · 4 games
Stray Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
749 picks · 597 bans
Disruptor
609 picks · 532 bans
Doom
552 picks · 1097 bans
Beastmaster
549 picks · 1318 bans
Techies
486 picks · 542 bans
Pangolier
469 picks · 955 bans
Ember Spirit
464 picks · 1139 bans
Enchantress
450 picks · 642 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 50%
Hero pool strength52% YBN Team
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total57% Stray Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct43:15
YBN Team 43%Stray Team 57%
The model gave 57% on Stray Team — the game was taken by Stray Team in 29:47.
Model check result
Model favoriteStray Team · 57%
Series resultStray Team 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1