BETBOOM Streamers Battle 15 · BO3
result vs prediction
YBN Teamloss 1:2series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Cake Teamwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
YBN Team
Death Prophet
ybicanoooobov · 4 games
Doomoften banned
kolya_kaBAN68 · 4 games
Ogre Magi
balod9l · 4 games
Snapfire
ybicanoooobov · 4 games
Alchemist
nesfeer · 3 games
Disruptor
Shishak · 3 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Shishak · 3 games
Nyx Assassin
balod9l · 3 games
Cake Team
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Cake · 4 games
Crystal Maiden
dabex · 3 games
Grimstroke
Shishak · 3 games
Techies
Shishak · 3 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Limitless · 2 games
Doomoften banned
Limitless · 2 games
Magnus
Cake · 2 games
Shadow Demon
Shishak · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
501 picks · 300 bans
Dark Willow
397 picks · 169 bans
Mirana
376 picks · 170 bans
Ember Spirit
327 picks · 494 bans
Centaur Warrunner
313 picks · 310 bans
Winter Wyvern
311 picks · 283 bans
Earth Spirit
291 picks · 493 bans
Undying
278 picks · 358 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)29% vs 56%
Hero pool strength61% Cake Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% YBN Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct40:13
YBN Team 54%Cake Team 46%
The model gave 54% on YBN Team — the game was taken by YBN Team in 38:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tinynesfeer
LinaSmiling Knight
Omniknighttakizawa
KunkkaLimitless
Windrangerybicanoooobov
ViperCake
Earth SpiritEARTHQ
Witch Doctordabex
Winter Wyvernbalod9l
Bounty HunterShishak
Game 2prediction missed22:36
YBN Team 55%Cake Team 45%
The model gave 55% on YBN Team — the game was taken by Cake Team in 40:14.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tidehunterybicanoooobov
Nature's ProphetSmiling Knight
Brewmastertakizawa
BeastmasterLimitless
Morphlingnesfeer
Storm SpiritCake
RubickEARTHQ
Ogre Magidabex
Jakirobalod9l
TechiesShishak
Game 3prediction missed43:51
YBN Team 54%Cake Team 46%
The model gave 54% on YBN Team — the game was taken by Cake Team in 1:27:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Troll Warlordnesfeer
SvenSmiling Knight
Queen of Painybicanoooobov
Dark SeerLimitless
Marcitakizawa
MagnusCake
Snapfirebalod9l
MiranaShishak
Dark WillowEARTHQ
Oracledabex
Model check result
Model favoriteYBN Team · 59%
Series resultCake Team 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3