BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Yellow Submarinewin 2:0series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 2:0
IILOVESABRINAloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Yellow Submarine
Dark Willow
rue · 11 games
Tusk
aik · 11 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
pJonn · 9 games
Morphlingoften banned
Satanic · 8 games
Muertaoften banned
rue · 8 games
Treant Protectoroften banned
aik · 8 games
Phoenixoften banned
aik · 7 games
Puckoften banned
erase · 7 games
ILOVESABRINA
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
246 picks · 419 bans
Muerta
224 picks · 317 bans
Phoenix
211 picks · 323 bans
Tusk
196 picks · 181 bans
Dark Willow
195 picks · 97 bans
Centaur Warrunner
192 picks · 265 bans
Treant Protector
185 picks · 358 bans
Kunkka
177 picks · 503 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 50%
Hero pool strength54% ILOVESABRINA
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% Yellow Submarine
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct38:2
Yellow Submarine 58%ILOVESABRINA 42%
The model gave 58% on Yellow Submarine — the game was taken by Yellow Submarine in 29:11.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Faceless VoidSatanic
Shadow DemonArrOw
Night StalkerpJonn
Tinyerase
Game 2prediction correct24:13
Yellow Submarine 59%ILOVESABRINA 41%
The model gave 59% on Yellow Submarine — the game was taken by Yellow Submarine in 35:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
MorphlingSatanic
TinyArrOw
Puckerase
MarspJonn
Model check result
Model favoriteYellow Submarine · 64%
Series resultYellow Submarine 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2