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ESL One Birmingham 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Yellow Submarineloss 0:1
series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Inner Circlewin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Yellow Submarine

Disruptor
Disruptor
Xakoda · 26 games
38%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Mirele · 26 games
62%
Snapfire
Snapfire
sayuw · 25 games
48%
Tusk
Tusk
mrls · 25 games
36%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
Mirele · 25 games
48%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Infernal · 23 games
52%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Mirele · 23 games
39%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Infernal · 22 games
50%

Inner Circle

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Fernans · 17 games
35%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Norma · 17 games
35%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Norma · 16 games
25%
Tusk
Tusk
Fernans · 15 games
40%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Fernans · 13 games
62%
Warlock
Warlock
flacko · 12 games
33%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Fernans · 11 games
18%
Sven
Sven
yowaai · 11 games
27%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
558 picks · 737 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
499 picks · 353 bans
48%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
472 picks · 645 bans
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
446 picks · 547 bans
56%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
377 picks · 630 bans
54%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
367 picks · 545 bans
51%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
362 picks · 173 bans
53%
Snapfire
Snapfire
360 picks · 119 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 30%
Hero pool strength55% Yellow Submarine
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total60% Yellow Submarine
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Yellow Submarine 60%Inner Circle 40%
The model gave 60% on Yellow Submarine — the game was taken by Inner Circle.
Model check result
Model favoriteYellow Submarine · 60%
Series resultInner Circle 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1