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The International 2026. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Yellow Submarinewin 2:0
series probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 2:0
MODUSloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Yellow Submarine

Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
Htrd · 43 games
63%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Mirele · 24 games
58%
Batrider
Batridersignature
not me · 20 games
65%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
Infernal · 18 games
50%
Lich
Lichsignature
Xakoda · 15 games
67%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
Shigetsu · 15 games
60%
Tiny
Tiny
Shigetsu · 14 games
57%
Largo
Largooften banned
prblms · 13 games
54%

MODUS

Rubick
Rubick
prblms · 17 games
35%
Puck
Pucksignature
Mirele · 14 games
71%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Mirele · 14 games
21%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
prblms · 13 games
62%
Underlord
Underlordsignature
elmo^^ · 12 games
67%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
Mirele · 12 games
50%
Tiny
Tiny
bottega · 11 games
27%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
prblms · 10 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
636 picks · 443 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
600 picks · 341 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
450 picks · 651 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
440 picks · 508 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
395 picks · 349 bans
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
341 picks · 498 bans
51%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
338 picks · 385 bans
47%
Puck
Puck
315 picks · 981 bans
60%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 46%
Hero pool strength55% Yellow Submarine
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total71% Yellow Submarine
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct20:8
Yellow Submarine 61%MODUS 39%
The model gave 61% on Yellow Submarine — the game was taken by Yellow Submarine in 33:04.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kez
KezShigetsu
50% · 146 games63% · 25 games
Broodmotherbottega
Broodmother
Lycan
LycanBatyuk
50% · 120 games44% · 112 games
Underlordelmo^^
Underlord
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritRain
49% · 32 games51% · 217 games
PuckMirele
Puck
Lion
LionWein
49% · 184 games51% · 89 games
Techieskasane
Techies
Lich
LichXakoda
51% · 89 games49% · 128 games
Clockwerkprblms
Clockwerk
Game 2prediction correct43:40
Yellow Submarine 61%MODUS 39%
The model gave 61% on Yellow Submarine — the game was taken by Yellow Submarine in 1:18:59.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tiny
TinyShigetsu
51% · 370 games50% · 118 games
Lycanelmo^^
Lycan
Dark Seer
Dark SeerBatyuk
46% · 86 games55% · 309 games
SlardarMirele
Slardar
Pangolier
PangolierRain
46% · 296 games52% · 294 games
Shadow Fiendbottega
Shadow Fiend
Spirit Breaker
Spirit BreakerWein
42% · 87 games49% · 125 games
Techieskasane
Techies
Bane
BaneXakoda
52% · 246 games54% · 239 games
Ringmasterprblms
Ringmaster
Model check result
Model favoriteYellow Submarine · 71%
Series resultYellow Submarine 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2