Tennisi Stampede Champions: Season 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Yellow Submarineloss 0:2series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Most Wantedwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Yellow Submarine
Ember Spiritsignature
Mirele · 32 games
Tusk
mrls · 31 game
Void Spirit
Mirele · 29 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Infernal · 26 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Infernal · 26 games
Disruptor
Xakoda · 26 games
Queen of Painoften banned
Mirele · 26 games
Snapfire
mrls · 25 games
Most Wanted
Tusksignature
Ponlo · 23 games
Shadow Demonsignature
Ponlo · 17 games
Bristlebacksignature
fortniteMan · 15 games
Marcisignature
fortniteMan · 15 games
Slardarsignature
fortniteMan · 15 games
Chensignature
Rein · 14 games
Dazzlesignature
Rein · 14 games
Nature's Prophetsignature
niche · 14 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
778 picks · 360 bans
Hoodwink
606 picks · 302 bans
Jakiro
584 picks · 488 bans
Dragon Knight
566 picks · 706 bans
Disruptor
553 picks · 550 bans
Tusk
535 picks · 319 bans
Mars
506 picks · 756 bans
Centaur Warrunner
500 picks · 566 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 70%
Hero pool strength64% Most Wanted
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total57% Most Wanted
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct25:38
Yellow Submarine 45%Most Wanted 55%
The model gave 55% on Most Wanted — the game was taken by Most Wanted in 45:47.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
PuckMirele
Kez423
Juggernautbottega
Void Spiritniche
AxeInfernal
Centaur WarrunnerfortniteMan
DisruptorHtrd
RikiPonlo
Shadow Demonprblms
Game 2prediction correct12:36
Yellow Submarine 43%Most Wanted 57%
The model gave 57% on Most Wanted — the game was taken by Most Wanted in 31:17.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Juggernautbottega
Ursa423
ViperMirele
Storm Spiritniche
SlardarInfernal
MarsfortniteMan
Hoodwinkprblms
ClockwerkPonlo
WarlockHtrd
Model check result
Model favoriteMost Wanted · 57%
Series resultMost Wanted 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2