RES Regional Series: EU #2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Yellow Submarinewin 2:0series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Nemiga Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Yellow Submarine
Centaur Warrunnersignature
emptiness · 32 games
Techies
rue · 28 games
Pangolieroften banned
erase · 22 games
Lunaoften banned
Satanic · 21 game
Morphlingoften banned
Satanic · 21 game
Crystal Maiden
asdekor_r · 20 games
Marsoften banned
emptiness · 18 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
rue · 18 games
Nemiga Gaming
Crystal Maiden
aik · 15 games
Pangolieroften banned
nicky`cool · 15 games
Lionsignature
aik · 14 games
Lunasignature
v1olent- · 14 games
Pugnasignature
queezy · 14 games
Tinyoften banned
queezy · 14 games
Rubick
queezy · 13 games
Gyrocoptersignature
queezy · 12 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
483 picks · 213 bans
Tiny
443 picks · 634 bans
Batrider
416 picks · 736 bans
Centaur Warrunner
397 picks · 558 bans
Rubick
395 picks · 159 bans
Gyrocopter
387 picks · 338 bans
Pangolier
369 picks · 755 bans
Mars
341 picks · 552 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 58%
Hero pool strength55% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total54% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed31:11
Yellow Submarine 46%Nemiga Gaming 54%
The model gave 54% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Yellow Submarine in 36:30.
Game 2prediction missed17:32
Yellow Submarine 46%Nemiga Gaming 54%
The model gave 54% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Yellow Submarine in 38:22.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 54%
Series resultYellow Submarine 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2