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BLAST Slam VIII. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Yellow Submarinewin 1:0
series probability
87%13%
probability at match start · final 1:0
PuckChamploss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Yellow Submarine

Ringmaster
Ringmaster
Xakoda · 30 games
53%
Lich
Lichsignature
Xakoda · 25 games
68%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Rain · 16 games
56%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Shigetsu · 15 games
60%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
not me · 14 games
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
not me · 14 games
71%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
not me · 13 games
54%
Kez
Kezoften banned
Shigetsu · 11 games
45%

PuckChamp

Techies
Techiessignature
Gothic- · 10 games
60%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Gothic- · 9 games
22%
Lina
Linaoften banned
xn丶e · 8 games
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
Hyugadoto · 8 games
25%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Yuragi · 8 games
13%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
krol9ash · 7 games
57%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Yuragi · 7 games
29%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Hyugadoto · 6 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
488 picks · 331 bans
49%
Bane
Bane
350 picks · 462 bans
55%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
338 picks · 528 bans
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
323 picks · 502 bans
57%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
315 picks · 651 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
290 picks · 319 bans
47%
Windranger
Windranger
274 picks · 200 bans
47%
Rubick
Rubick
260 picks · 145 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 38%
Hero pool strength59% Yellow Submarine
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total87% Yellow Submarine
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct6:3
Yellow Submarine 75%PuckChamp 25%
The model gave 75% on Yellow Submarine — the game was taken by Yellow Submarine in 20:21.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lifestealer
LifestealerShigetsu
56% · 125 games48% · 196 games
TerrorbladeYuragi
Terrorblade
Lycan
LycanBatyuk
60% · 86 games62% · 79 games
Linaспортик
Lina
Invoker
InvokerRain
52% · 149 games39% · 263 games
Underlordkrol9ash
Underlord
Hoodwink
HoodwinkWein
49% · 477 games48% · 238 games
LargoGothic-
Largo
Clockwerk
ClockwerkXakoda
45% · 205 games45% · 266 games
RingmasterHyugadoto
Ringmaster
Model check result
Model favoriteYellow Submarine · 87%
Series resultYellow Submarine 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1