RES Regional Series: EU #2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Yellow Submarineloss 1:1series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Rest Farmersloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Yellow Submarine
Centaur Warrunnersignature
emptiness · 32 games
Techies
rue · 28 games
Pangolieroften banned
erase · 22 games
Lunaoften banned
Satanic · 21 game
Morphlingoften banned
Satanic · 21 game
Crystal Maiden
asdekor_r · 20 games
Marsoften banned
emptiness · 18 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
rue · 18 games
Rest Farmers
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
483 picks · 214 bans
Tiny
442 picks · 636 bans
Batrider
417 picks · 737 bans
Centaur Warrunner
398 picks · 560 bans
Rubick
393 picks · 162 bans
Gyrocopter
387 picks · 339 bans
Pangolier
371 picks · 759 bans
Mars
338 picks · 560 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)51% vs 52%
Hero pool strength51% Yellow Submarine
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total53% Rest Farmers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct35:16
Yellow Submarine 47%Rest Farmers 53%
The model gave 53% on Rest Farmers — the game was taken by Rest Farmers in 29:52.
Game 2prediction missed46:26
Yellow Submarine 47%Rest Farmers 53%
The model gave 53% on Rest Farmers — the game was taken by Yellow Submarine in 1:15:34.
Model check result
Model favoriteRest Farmers · 53%
Accuracy by game1 of 2