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BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Yellow Submarineloss 0:2
series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team NextUpwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Yellow Submarine

Dark Willow
Dark Willow
rue · 11 games
27%
Tusk
Tusk
aik · 11 games
45%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
pJonn · 9 games
67%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Satanic · 9 games
56%
Muerta
Muertaoften banned
rue · 8 games
50%
Puck
Puckoften banned
erase · 8 games
50%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectoroften banned
aik · 8 games
13%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
aik · 7 games
14%

Team NextUp

Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Petushara · 1 game
0%
Doom
Doomoften banned
forcemajor · 1 game
0%
Juggernaut
Juggernaut
7jesu · 1 game
0%
Lion
Lion
jesv · 1 game
0%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Mirage · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
255 picks · 431 bans
51%
Muerta
Muerta
225 picks · 317 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
225 picks · 357 bans
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
213 picks · 284 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
208 picks · 193 bans
46%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
207 picks · 98 bans
54%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
189 picks · 359 bans
54%
Kunkka
Kunkka
184 picks · 510 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 40%
Hero pool strength52% Yellow Submarine
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% Yellow Submarine
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed16:25
Yellow Submarine 58%Team NextUp 42%
The model gave 58% on Yellow Submarine — the game was taken by Team NextUp in 44:36.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiriterase
49% · 371 game55% · 38 games
Juggernaut7jesu
Juggernaut
Weaver
WeaverSatanic
54% · 31 game56% · 160 games
BeastmasterPetushara
Beastmaster
Mars
MarspJonn
42% · 151 game50% · 181 game
Ember SpiritMirage
Ember Spirit
Lion
Lionrue
57% · 115 games46% · 151 game
Batriderforcemajor
Batrider
46% · 138 games
Techiesjesv
Techies
Game 2prediction missed5:20
Yellow Submarine 55%Team NextUp 45%
The model gave 55% on Yellow Submarine — the game was taken by Team NextUp in 32:19.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Troll Warlord
Troll WarlordSatanic
51% · 99 games49% · 91 game
Lifestealer7jesu
Lifestealer
Pangolier
Pangoliererase
51% · 451 game52% · 218 games
BeastmasterPetushara
Beastmaster
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerpJonn
43% · 154 games51% · 227 games
Ember SpiritMirage
Ember Spirit
Phoenix
Phoenixrue
46% · 278 games51% · 228 games
Nature's Prophetjesv
Nature's Prophet
57% · 218 games
Snapfireforcemajor
Snapfire
Model check result
Model favoriteYellow Submarine · 62%
Series resultTeam NextUp 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2