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Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Yellow Submarineloss 1:2
series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Two Movewin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Yellow Submarine

Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
Htrd · 39 games
64%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Mirele · 20 games
60%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
not me · 19 games
58%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
Infernal · 18 games
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
prblms · 16 games
56%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
Mirele · 14 games
57%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
bottega · 14 games
64%
Muerta
Muertasignature
bottega · 13 games
62%

Two Move

Ringmaster
Ringmaster
Htrd · 5 games
80%
Rubick
Rubick
queezy · 4 games
75%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
Bb3px · 3 games
67%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
WoE · 3 games
67%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
queezy · 3 games
100%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Bb3px · 3 games
33%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Ainkrad · 3 games
67%
Snapfire
Snapfire
queezy · 3 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
564 picks · 348 bans
54%
Phoenix
Phoenix
479 picks · 567 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
456 picks · 239 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
435 picks · 372 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
383 picks · 532 bans
48%
Puck
Puck
330 picks · 866 bans
52%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
320 picks · 806 bans
47%
Tusk
Tusk
310 picks · 267 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 79%
Hero pool strength52% Two Move
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% Yellow Submarine
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct42:44
Yellow Submarine 55%Two Move 45%
The model gave 55% on Yellow Submarine — the game was taken by Yellow Submarine in 1:08:37.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lone Druid
Lone DruidShigetsu
59% · 52 games54% · 38 games
NecrophosWoE
Necrophos
Invoker
InvokerRain
52% · 123 games48% · 208 games
Storm SpiritAinkrad
Storm Spirit
Axe
AxeBatyuk
52% · 232 games50% · 193 games
SlardarBb3px
Slardar
Techies
TechiesWein
42% · 110 games41% · 159 games
Rubickqueezy
Rubick
Ringmaster
RingmasterXakoda
54% · 202 games52% · 121 game
EnchantressHtrd
Enchantress
Game 2prediction missed19:40
Yellow Submarine 59%Two Move 41%
The model gave 59% on Yellow Submarine — the game was taken by Two Move in 50:18.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tinker
TinkerRain
55% · 10 games51% · 32 games
Drow RangerWoE
Drow Ranger
Windranger
WindrangerShigetsu
54% · 153 games47% · 141 game
Void SpiritAinkrad
Void Spirit
Kunkka
KunkkaBatyuk
50% · 91 game40% · 81 game
DawnbreakerBb3px
Dawnbreaker
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorXakoda
56% · 80 games46% · 146 games
Rubickqueezy
Rubick
Ringmaster
RingmasterWein
57% · 134 games47% · 68 games
TechiesHtrd
Techies
Game 3prediction missed38:33
Yellow Submarine 55%Two Move 45%
The model gave 55% on Yellow Submarine — the game was taken by Two Move in 47:59.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kez
KezShigetsu
53% · 113 games55% · 81 game
MedusaWoE
Medusa
Doom
DoomBatyuk
55% · 174 games44% · 132 games
Void SpiritAinkrad
Void Spirit
Sand King
Sand KingRain
44% · 128 games57% · 97 games
LargoBb3px
Largo
Lich
LichXakoda
49% · 51 game52% · 158 games
Snapfirequeezy
Snapfire
Lion
LionWein
48% · 86 games44% · 84 games
TechiesHtrd
Techies
Model check result
Model favoriteYellow Submarine · 60%
Series resultTwo Move 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3