?
arrow_backBack to match
The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Yellow Submarineloss 1:2
series probability
28%72%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Virtus.prowin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Yellow Submarine

Batrider
Batrider
mrls · 9 games
44%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
re1bl · 9 games
56%
Muerta
Muertasignature
mrls · 8 games
63%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
mrls · 6 games
67%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
nesfeer · 6 games
33%
Lion
Lion
mrls · 6 games
33%
Timbersaw
Timbersaw
ififall · 6 games
33%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Htrd · 5 games
80%

Virtus.pro

Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Squad1x · 18 games
67%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Lorenof · 17 games
59%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
Nande · 15 games
67%
Abaddon
Abaddonsignature
Daxak · 13 games
62%
Batrider
Batridersignature
prblms · 12 games
67%
Enchantress
Enchantress
Rein · 11 games
45%
Warlock
Warlocksignature
Rein · 11 games
64%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
Noticed · 10 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
470 picks · 443 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
443 picks · 496 bans
49%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
432 picks · 200 bans
51%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
331 picks · 579 bans
46%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
290 picks · 400 bans
53%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
287 picks · 606 bans
56%
Tusk
Tusk
275 picks · 182 bans
47%
Windranger
Windranger
265 picks · 74 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 62%
Hero pool strength58% Virtus.pro
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total72% Virtus.pro
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct9:24
Yellow Submarine 28%Virtus.pro 72%
The model gave 72% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by Virtus.pro in 26:37.
Game 2prediction missed37:25
Yellow Submarine 28%Virtus.pro 72%
The model gave 72% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by Yellow Submarine in 44:37.
Game 3prediction correct12:29
Yellow Submarine 28%Virtus.pro 72%
The model gave 72% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by Virtus.pro in 34:14.
Model check result
Model favoriteVirtus.pro · 72%
Series resultVirtus.pro 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3