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CCT Season 2 Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Yellow Submarineloss 1:2
series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Wildcard Gamingwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Yellow Submarine

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
re1bl · 16 games
50%
Muerta
Muertasignature
mrls · 13 games
62%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
mrls · 12 games
50%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
ififall · 11 games
45%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
mrls · 10 games
70%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mirele · 10 games
30%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
ififall · 9 games
44%
Doom
Doomoften banned
bottega · 9 games
22%

Wildcard Gaming

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
RCY · 27 games
37%
Magnus
Magnussignature
Fayde · 25 games
64%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
RCY · 25 games
48%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Bignum · 24 games
58%
Chen
Chensignature
Speeed · 21 game
86%
Muerta
Muerta
Bignum · 21 game
48%
Puck
Pucksignature
RCY · 21 game
67%
Tusk
Tusk
Bignum · 20 games
55%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
500 picks · 546 bans
49%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
458 picks · 503 bans
56%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
426 picks · 220 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
382 picks · 370 bans
48%
Jakiro
Jakiro
381 picks · 273 bans
46%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
366 picks · 806 bans
48%
Pangolier
Pangolier
355 picks · 532 bans
50%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
350 picks · 520 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 53%
Hero pool strength54% Wildcard Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% Wildcard Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed22:16
Yellow Submarine 43%Wildcard Gaming 57%
The model gave 57% on Wildcard Gaming — the game was taken by Yellow Submarine in 34:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
Medusabottega
43% · 171 game46% · 487 games
TinyYamSun
Tiny
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritMirele
51% · 334 games48% · 127 games
Queen of PainFayde
Queen of Pain
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerInfernal
48% · 186 games53% · 47 games
HuskarRCY
Huskar
Warlock
WarlockXakoda
49% · 191 game59% · 101 game
ChenSpeeed
Chen
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamanmrls
53% · 226 games49% · 346 games
TuskBignum
Tusk
Game 2prediction correct6:25
Yellow Submarine 43%Wildcard Gaming 57%
The model gave 57% on Wildcard Gaming — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming in 34:34.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Abaddon
Abaddonbottega
48% · 114 games45% · 197 games
TerrorbladeYamSun
Terrorblade
Void Spirit
Void SpiritMirele
57% · 91 game54% · 189 games
PuckRCY
Puck
Undying
UndyingXakoda
56% · 69 games44% · 74 games
AxeFayde
Axe
Dark Willow
Dark Willowmrls
49% · 236 games51% · 63 games
ChenSpeeed
Chen
Brewmaster
BrewmasterInfernal
50% · 101 game49% · 88 games
MarciBignum
Marci
Game 3prediction correct14:31
Yellow Submarine 42%Wildcard Gaming 58%
The model gave 58% on Wildcard Gaming — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming in 42:01.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopterbottega
54% · 223 games52% · 192 games
DoomYamSun
Doom
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinMirele
45% · 171 game50% · 197 games
PuckRCY
Puck
Axe
AxeInfernal
50% · 67 games48% · 191 game
Dark SeerFayde
Dark Seer
Warlock
WarlockXakoda
46% · 150 games62% · 124 games
ChenSpeeed
Chen
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamanmrls
48% · 202 games47% · 109 games
MarciBignum
Marci
Model check result
Model favoriteWildcard Gaming · 64%
Series resultWildcard Gaming 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3